Georgia Southern — 2026 schedule & results record 3-4 · model's picks 5-2 so far
Proj rating -9.3 · SOS -5.5 · Mean wins 5.0 · Picked 3-9 · Vegas 4.5
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Line / ATS | Model | Win prob | Pick | My bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sat 09/05 | Charleston Southern | home | W 31–0 | -28.25 ✓ | +21.6 | 90% | W ✓ | |
| 2 | Sat 09/12 | Clemson | away | L 7–22 | +20 ✓ | -21.0 | 11% | L ✓ | |
| 3 | Sat 09/19 | Jacksonville State | away | L 27–31 | +3.5 ✗ | -3.7 | 41% | L ✓ | |
| 4 | Sat 09/26 | Houston | home | L 28–42 | +17.25 ✓ | -14.0 | 20% | L ✓ | |
| 5 | Sat 10/03 | Coastal Carolina | away | W 31–24 | -2.25 ✓ | -0.0 | 49% | L ✗ | |
| 6 | Sat 10/10 | James Madison | home | L 24–27 | +7 ✓ | -8.5 | 30% | L ✓ |
James Madison -7.5 · LOSS -20 James Madison -7.5 · LOSS -30 |
| 7 | Thu 10/15 | Old Dominion | away | W 23–15 | -3 ✓ | -8.0 | 32% | L ✗ |
Georgia Southern -3.5 · WIN +18 Old Dominion +3.5 · LOSS -50 |
| 9 | Sat 10/31 | App State | home | — | -5.5 | +1.5 | 54% | W | |
| 10 | Sat 11/07 | Marshall | home | — | — | -4.0 | 41% | L | |
| 11 | Sat 11/14 | Georgia State | away | — | — | +3.1 | 57% | W | |
| 12 | Sat 11/21 | Troy | away | — | — | -6.7 | 34% | L | |
| 13 | Sat 11/28 | Louisiana Tech | home | — | — | -4.6 | 40% | L |
Picked counts every game the model favors as a win. Mean wins is the average over 10,000 simulated seasons — a team favored 60/40 in five games wins about three of them, not five, which is why Picked runs higher than Mean wins for good teams (and lower for bad ones). Compare Mean wins to Vegas; use this page to see where the wins come from.